
By Phil Fazio
Heading into the Super Bowl, there are plenty of in-game betting trends that can give bettors of the live game a serious advantage with their in-game wagers:
First team to score
- The team that scored first has won eight of the last nine and 10 of the last 12 Super Bowls.
- The team that scored first has won 67.9 percent of the time (36-17).
- When the first score was a TD (25 times), the team won 68.0 percent of the time (17-8).
- When the first score was a FG (25 times), the team won 64.0 percent of the time (16-9).
- When the first score was a safety (3 times), the team won 100 percent of the time (3-0).
- Kansas City has scored first in the Super Bowl only once in their two appearances (1-0 on FG as the first score).
- The San Francisco 49ers have scored first in the Super Bowl four times in their six appearances, going 4-0 in those games (3-0 on TD as the first score, 1-0 on FG as the first score).
Team | When Scoring First | When Not Scoring First |
---|---|---|
49ers | 9-3 SU (+14) | 6-0 SU (+5.83) |
Chiefs | 6-3 SU (+9.44) | 8-1 SU (+9.89)
End of First Quarter |
- The team leading at the end of the first quarter has won 71.8 percent of the time, including the last six Super Bowls and eight of the last nine.
- No team leading by more than 10 points at the end of the first quarter has EVER lost a Super Bowl.
- Teams that had a lead at the end of the first quarter have won six straight Super Bowls. (Note this does not include years when the score was tied at the end of the first quarter.)
- Teams that are scoreless at the end of the first quarter and whose opponents are not are 6-20 SU (23.1%).
- Teams leading by less than seven points at the end of the first quarter are 11-7 SU (61.1%).
- Teams leading by seven points or more at the end of the first quarter are 17-4 SU (81.0%).
- Teams leading by three points or less at the end of the first quarter are 8-5 SU (61.5%).
- Teams leading by more than three points at the end of the first quarter are 20-6 SU (76.9%).
Team | Leading at End of 1st Quarter | Not Leading at End of 1st Quarter |
---|---|---|
49ers | 7-1 SU (+19) | 4-0 SU (+4.75) |
Chiefs | 6-2 SU (+14) | 7-2 SU (+6.56) |
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